26 October 2021

Market Price Assessment – PPA , GPA and Carbon Markets 26th October 2021

  • Brent ICE 1st nearby ($/b) 79.53 7.59%
  • TTF ICE Month-Ahead (€/MWh) 76.51 1.19%
  • TTF ICE Cal 2022 (€/MWh) 48.37 5.31%
  • NBP ICE Month-Ahead (p/th) 190.38 -.38%
  • Henry Hub NYMEX ($/MMBTU) 5.71 14.46%
  • NE Asia LNG JKM Platts ($/MMBTU) 28.90 9.29%
  • API 2 ICE Cal 2022 ($/t) 149.06 18.25%
  • DE EEX Base Cal 2022 (€/MWh) 113.91 8.18%
  • FR EEX Base Cal 2022 (€/MWh) 118.32 8.05%
  • EUA ICE Dec'21 (€/t) 64.37 6.08%
UK PPAs and Green Gas Market Fundamentals:
  • European and NBP gas prices increased yesterday.
  • Lower Norwegian supply due to planned maintenance works and reduced
  • Russian flows supported spot and front month pricing.
  • Price volatility continues particularly at the “front end of the curve”.
  • PPA fixing opportunities to lock in value is out to 2024.

Key Drivers :

  • The European gas market is off the highs but still trading at strong levels.
  • The oil market is up, and the broader commodity complex remains bullish.
  • Gasoline prices spiked yesterday in Asia.
  • Reduced pipeline gas from Russia and Norway.
  • Strong Asian LNG buying interest.
  • Coal market tightness.
Carbon Markets:
  • Contracts edged up on the back of gains in the broader energy complex.
  • The Dec EUA contract climbed near 60€/t in the first hours of trading.
  • The UKA price continues to hold above the trigger price for the cost containment mechanism to be activated in December.
  • The premium over EUA’s has dropped but remains significant.